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台风“摩羯”分形特征演变及其与风速的关系

Fractal characteristic of Typhoon Yagi and its relationship with wind speeds

  • 摘要: 台风是一种复杂的自然现象,其结构、强度和演化过程显著展现出分形特征。本研究聚焦于2024年超强台风“摩羯”的分形特征,运用气象常规资料以及FY-2H卫星的云顶黑体亮度数据产品,分析台风在登陆过程及其前后阶段的分形特征与结构变化的关系,以及分形特征与台风最大风速之间的关联。研究发现,台风“摩羯”的分形维数在登陆过程中经历了3个阶段:上升、下降和再上升。分形维数的变化与吸收对流区的过程密切相关,而吸收对流区的速度也是最大风速增长的关键因素。研究结果表明,台风“摩羯”的分形维数与最大风速的变化率呈现出一致的变化趋势,揭示了台风复杂结构与其强度之间的密切联系。

     

    Abstract: Typhoons are complex natural phenomena, whose structures, intensities, and evolutionary processes significantly exhibit fractal characteristics. This study focuses on the fractal characteristics of the super Typhoon Yagi in 2024, utilizing conventional meteorological data and the FY-2H satellite’s thermal blackbody brightness products. It provides an in-depth analysis of the relationship between the fractal characteristics and structural changes of the typhoon during its landfall process and surrounding stages, as well as the correlation between fractal characteristics and the typhoon’s maximum wind speed. It finds that the fractal dimension of Typhoon Yagi undergoes three stages during the landfall: rising, falling, and rising again. Changes in the fractal dimension are closely related to the process of absorbing convective regions, and the speed at which these regions are absorbed is also a critical factor in the increase of maximum wind speed. Results demonstrate that the fractal dimension of Typhoon Yagi and the rate of change in maximum wind speed exhibit consistent trends, further revealing the close connection between the complex structure of the typhoon and its intensity.

     

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