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基于生物学特征的滨海核电海洋生物致堵性风险评价方法

Risk assessment method of blockage-causing marine organisms in coastal nuclear power plant based on biological characteristics

  • 摘要: 海洋生物的异常增殖或聚集是影响滨海核电取水安全的主要因素,而开展致堵性海洋生物的筛查及风险评估是保障取水堵塞物预警和防控有效性的基础和前提。本研究根据滨海核电冷却水系统特点及其安全需求,采用层次分析法和生物特征法,基于海洋生物的生物学和生态学特征,结合专家意见和在运核电厂的经验反馈,从生物特征、生物定量指数和生物定性指数3个层面分别选取了个体/群体大小、柔软度、逃逸能力、集群性、栖息密度、生物量、暴发历史和定性调访等8个指标,确定了评价指标的权重、分级赋值、计算及等级划分方法,构建了滨海核电海洋生物致堵性风险评价指标体系。并基于该评价方法利用多航次的海上调查数据对海洋生物的致堵风险进行预测评估,预测结果与滤网反冲洗的验证数据相符。结果表明本研究构建的滨海核电海洋生物致堵性风险评价指标体系具有较高的可行性和准确性,后续可在更多厂址海域进行推广和应用。

     

    Abstract: Abnormal proliferation or aggregation of marine organisms is the major factor affecting the safety of water intake systems for coastal nuclear power plants. Screening and risk assessment of blockage-causing marine organisms are essential for ensuring the effectiveness of early warning and prevention of water intake blockages. This study, based on the characteristics and safety requirements of the cooling water system in coastal nuclear power plants, employs the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Biological Traits Analysis, and selects eight indicators including individual/group size, softness, escape ability, clustering tendency, habitat density, biomass, outbreak history, and qualitative interview from three levels (biological characteristic, biological quantitative index, and qualitative index), based on the biological and ecological characteristics with expert opinions and feedback from operating nuclear power plants. This study determines the weight, grading assignment, calculation method, and classification criteria for the evaluation indicators were determined, establishing a risk assessment index system for marine biological blockage in coastal nuclear power plants. And applied our evaluation method, the risk of blockage-causing marine organisms was predicted and evaluated using data from multi-voyage marine survey. The predicted results were consistent with the validation data of filter backwashing, indicating that the risk assessment index system for blockage-causing marine organisms in coastal nuclear power highly feasible and accurate, and can be further promoted and applied in more nuclear power plants and areas in the future.

     

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