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基于立体分层视角的海洋空间规划模型研究

Marine spatial planning model from a multi-layered perspective

  • 摘要: 现行海洋空间规划多以二维平面为主,缺乏科学的立体用海规划方法。为更高效地释放海域资源潜能,缓解用海冲突,本研究基于“水面-水体-海床-底土”4层空间分层,构建了一个兼容性分析与适宜性评价相结合的海洋空间规划定量模型。该模型首先通过冲突系数矩阵量化分析20类主要用海活动的空间兼容性,有效识别并规避不可兼容的用海组合。在此基础上,构建面向不同空间分层的适宜性评价指标体系,重点针对水面层(海上风电、海上光伏、旅游观光和港口建设)、水体层(水体养殖)和海床层(海床养殖)等典型用海类型,采用GIS叠加分析和层次分析法,精确划定各项用海活动的适宜分区。最终结合兼容性分析与适宜性评价结果,选取兼容性强且适宜分区重叠面积大的用海活动进行垂向与水平方向的空间优化分配。并结合地区实际海洋产业发展情况,确定适合当地的立体分层用海模式与规划布局建议。本研究可为各沿海地区开展立体用海规划与实际落地提供应用示范与技术支撑。

     

    Abstract: Current marine spatial planning predominantly focuses on a two-dimensional horizontal approach and lacks scientific methods for three-dimensional (3D) sea-use planning. To more efficiently unlock the potential of marine resources and alleviate spatial conflicts, this study constructed a 3D quantitative marine spatial planning model that integrates compatibility analysis and suitability evaluation, based on a four-layer spatial division of “water surface-water column-seabed-subsoil”. The model firstly quantifies the spatial compatibility among 20 major sea-use activities using a conflict coefficient matrix, effectively identifying and avoiding incompatible combinations. Subsequently, a suitability evaluation indicator system was developed for different marine spatial layers, focusing on typical sea-use types such as offshore wind power, offshore photovoltaic, tourism, and port construction on the water surface layer, aquaculture in the water column, and seabed aquaculture. Using GIS-based overlay analysis and the analytic hierarchy process, suitable zones for various marine activities were identified. Based on the compatibility analysis and suitability evaluation results, the study further selected marine activities with high compatibility and large overlapping areas suitable for optimized vertical and horizontal spatial allocation. Finally, by integrating the practical development conditions of regional marine industries, appropriate three-dimensional and multi-layered sea-use patterns of the target region, the model proposes locally appropriate 3D hierarchical sea-use patterns and optimization suggestions for spatial planning layout. This study provides a practical demonstration and technical support for implementing 3D sea-use spatial planning in coastal regions.

     

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